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Aeromexico predicts a rise in domestic market share as rivals continue to grow

Analysis

Mexico's largest carrier Aeromexico predicts a rebound in its domestic market share during 4Q2012 after watching its rivals grow in the market during the last year as they worked to seize on opportunities created by Mexicana ceasing operations in Aug-2010. Aeromexico's management during the last three months of 2012 plans to focus more on building load factor instead of yield strength, which company executives believe will shore up its standing in the domestic market after the summer high season that was tilted more heavily towards leisure traffic. The carrier is also planning a trans-Atlantic push as it works towards the launch of new service to London Heathrow and forging a partnership with a Middle Eastern carrier to funnel traffic through its new European destination.

Aeromexico's focus on improving yields was reflected in the nearly 7% growth the carrier recorded in that metric during 3Q2012, which helped to drive the carrier's unit revenue growth up 3.6% year-over-year. While the yield strength reflects Aeromexico's ability to garner favourable pricing, its 6% rise in capacity year-over-year in 3Q2012 outpaced the 2% traffic growth, driving the airline's load factors down by 3.7ppt in 3Q2012 to 77%.

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