Airbus forecast (11-Oct-2011) Russian carriers will need more than 1000 passenger aircraft over the next 20 years in response to the strong traffic growth. The forecast ranks Russia sixth in the top 10 countries for passenger aircraft demand after US, China, India, Germany and UK. Russian airlines are expected to order 1006 aircraft, valued at USB95 billion, to meet fleet growth as well as aircraft replacement. These aircraft will comprise 839 narrowbodies, 145 widebodies and 22 very large aircraft to satisfy strong international travel growth. The Russian passenger aircraft fleet of 100 seats or more is expected to grow strongly from 519 aircraft in service in 2010 to 1058 by 2030. Passenger traffic in Russia is expected to increase at 5.65% p/a over the next 20 years, much faster than the world average of 4.8%. The biggest traffic growth is expected on international destinations from Russia to Asia-Pacific (+7%) and CIS regions (6.7%). Today, nine Russian airlines operate over 170 Airbus aircraft. Over 80 Airbus aircraft are scheduled for delivery in the forthcoming years. [more - original PR]
Airbus: More than 1000 aircraft will be needed within the next 20 years in Russia
You may also be interested in the following articles...
AirAsia Group fleet analysis: expansion to resume in 2017 with 32 deliveries including 15 new leases
The AirAsia Group is accelerating expansion in 2017 after deciding to lease 15 additional A320ceos which were not previously in its fleet plan. AirAsia now plans to take delivery of 32 A320s in 2017 (11 A320neos and 21 A320ceos) while returning three aircraft, for a net gain of 29 aircraft, marking its biggest expansion since 2013.
The AirAsia Group took delivery of only 10 aircraft in 2016 and originally was planning to take delivery of just 10 aircraft again in 2017. It initially slowed its fleet growth in 2015, with four deliveries, after several years of rapid double digit fleet expansion.
The AirAsia Group’s active fleet grew by only two aircraft in 2016 and shrank by two aircraft in 2015, when aircraft sales, leases outside the group and lease returns are taken into account. Fleet growth peaked in 2013 with 36 aircraft, before initially slowing to 18 aircraft in 2014 as market conditions became more challenging.
Mexican airlines: growing US protectionism creates a cloud of uncertainty over 2017
Mexican Airlines are starting 2017 under a cloud of uncertainty driven by the country’s slower economic growth and the increasing rhetoric by president-elect Donald Trump against US companies planning to sustain or expand their operations in that country. The US auto manufacturer Ford recently back-pedalled on plans to construct a new plant in Mexico, and GM has also drawn ire from the president-elect over its Mexican operations.
The threat of dissolving trade pacts, and Mr Trump’s general anti-immigration stance, sent the MXP plummeting after the US Presidential election, and the latest round of threats of taxation on automobiles manufactured outside the United States has put additional pressure on Mexico’s currency, which has been weaker during the last year and that has created pressure for Mexican airlines. However, for now, Mexico’s air passengers continue to grow at a steady rate. The country’s domestic airlines charted approximately 12% growth in passengers from Jan-2016 to Nov-2016, and international passengers among those airlines for the same time period strengthened by 11%.
Predicting whether those levels of growth will continue in 2017 is a challenge, given the level of uncertainty the US election has created for Mexico, along with internal strife the country is dealing with – including growing inflation and discontent over rising fuel prices.