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Macedonia gets big LCC boost following subsidised Wizz Air expansion

Analysis

The Republic of Macedonia is set to see greatly increased low-cost carrier penetration in winter 2012/13 with the upcoming expansion by Hungarian LCC Wizz Air. Rather than simply increasing competition, the services will open up a wide range of new routes from the Macedonian capital Skopje.

Wizz Air announced earlier this month that it would launch six services from Skopje to Munich, Dortmund, Basel, Eindhoven, Malmo and Milan. The services will commence from the start of the winter 2012/13 schedule. The airline already operates to Skopje from London Luton and Venice Treviso, three times weekly and twice weekly, respectively.

Summary
  • Hungarian low-cost carrier Wizz Air is set to expand its operations in the Republic of Macedonia, opening up new routes from the capital city Skopje.
  • Wizz Air will launch six new services from Skopje to Munich, Dortmund, Basel, Eindhoven, Malmo, and Milan, starting from the winter 2012/13 schedule.
  • The Macedonian government offered subsidies to attract European low-cost carriers (LCCs) through an international tender, aiming to increase LCC penetration in the country.
  • Macedonia currently lacks a national carrier after the collapse of MAT Macedonian Airlines in 2009, and the proposed new carrier MAT Airways has not yet received an Air Operator’s Certificate.
  • Austrian Airlines is currently the leading carrier in Macedonia, followed by Jat Airways and Croatia Airlines. LCCs Pegasus and Wizz Air are the fourth and fifth largest carriers, respectively.
  • Flydubai also plans to launch a Dubai-Skopje service with the assistance of subsidies from the Macedonian government, making it the country's first service to the Middle East and its only route outside Europe.

The announcement by Wizz Air follows an international tender from the Macedonian Government, which aimed to attract European LCCs by offering subsidies to cover new services for the next three years. Macedonia currently has a LCC penetration rate of approximately 25%, mainly contributed by Turkish LCC Pegasus Airlines and Wizz Air. Other LCCs including Jetairfly and airberlin offer limited services to Macedonia.

Macedonia lacks home-based carrier following demise of MAT

Macedonia currently does not have an operational national carrier after the collapse of MAT Macedonian Airlines in 2009. In its wake, MAT Airways was established and unveiled plans to operate services to Rome, Barcelona and Prague. But the new MAT has yet to receive an Air Operator's Certificate (AOC) from Macedonia's Civil Aviation Directorate (CAD). In Mar-2012 the proposed start-up announced it would initially operate using Romanian carrier Alfa Air's AOC but these plans have also not yet amounted to anything.

Remaining flag carriers in the other former Yugoslavian countries are also struggling, which has led to suggestions they should unite to secure their futures. Three of these carriers now serve Macedonia: Serbia's Jat Airways, Croatia Airlines and Slovenia's Adria Airways.

See related article: Flag carriers of the former Yugoslavia urged to unite

With the lack of a Macedonian carrier, the Turkish operator of Skopje Airport, TAV, tried to persuade Jat Airways and Turkish Airlines to base an aircraft at Skopje. After talks with these two carriers failed, the Macedonian Government issued the international tender to European LCCs.

Wizz Air responded and announced that it will dramatically increase its operations into Skopje with the launch of six new routes subsidised by the Macedonian Government. None of these routes are currently operated by any carrier.

New Wizz Air routes from Skopje in winter 2012/13

Route

Frequency

Launch date

Aircraft

SKP-MUC

Twice weekly

28-Oct-2012

A320

SKP-DTM

Twice weekly

28-Oct-2012

A320

SKP-BSL

Three times weekly

30-Oct-2012

A320

SKP-EIN

Twice weekly

28-Oct-2012

A320

SKP-MMX

Twice weekly

29-Oct-2012

A320

SKP-BGY

Twice weekly

28-Oct-2012

A320

Wizz Air will be joined by another LCC, Flydubai, which plans to launch Dubai-Skopje service by the end of 2012. This service will also be operated with the assistance of subsidies from the Macedonian Government until 2015. FlyDubai's service will commence following the finalisation of the Macedonia-United Arab Emirates bilateral air services agreement, which is expected in Sep-2012, according to Macedonia's CAD.

Austrian Airlines is current market leader in Macedonia

Austrian Airlines is now Macedonia's leading carrier with about a 17% share of international capacity share at Skopje Airport. Jat Airways is the second largest carrier at Skopje, with about a 15% share of capacity, and Croatia Airlines has about a 12% share. LCCs Pegasus and Wizz Air are already the fourth and fifth largest carriers in Skopje, respectively, but Wizz Air's six new routes will make it the largest carrier at the airport from the end of Oct-2012.

Skopje Airport international capacity by carrier (seats per week): 18-Jun-2012 to 24-Jun-2012

There are only two airports in Macedonia with commercial service. The second airport is located in the city of Ohrid, which is located just over 100km from the capital. While Skopje is served by 10 carriers, Ohrid is currently served by only two carriers - Jat and Jetairfly - according to Innovata data.

Both Jat and Jetairfly combine Ohrid and Skopje on a single route, with Jetairfly operating twice weekly service on a Brussels-Ohrid-Skopje-Brussels routing and Jat operating one weekly flight on a Belgrade-Ohrid-Skopje-Belgrade routing. Unlike Jat, Jetairfly has the rights to pick up local traffic on the short domestic hop but demand for domestic services in Macedonia is virtually non-existent given the small size of the country.

Macedonia's two main transportation markets, Eastern Europe and Western Europe, offer similar levels of capacity. Currently there is slightly more capacity to other Eastern European countries but after Wizz Air's expansion takes place, Western Europe will overtake Eastern Europe as Macedonia's largest market.

Macedonia international capacity by region (seats per week): 18-Jun-2012 to 24-Jun-2012

Meanwhile, FlyDubai's entrance in the Skopje market will give the country its first service to the Middle East and its only route outside Europe. Combined the entrance of FlyDubai and expansion by Wizz Air will give Skopje 21 routes, a 50% increase compared to 14 destinations now served from the Macedonian capital.

As a result, winter 2012/13 will see a major expansion of services at Skopje. Considering winter schedules are usually significantly reduced in the Balkan region compared to peak season summer schedules, the success of the new routes may lead to even greater expansion by Wizz Air and other carriers heading into summer 2013. The expansion of LCCs could impact the existing full service carriers serving Macedonia but with the new routes being to new destinations, for now there will not be any direct competition.

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