CAPA World Aviation Summit
Finnair CEO Update
Qantas CEO Alan Joyce On Delivering Business Transformation And Living In The Age of Disruption
Keynote Address: Qantas CEO Alan Joyce
Royal Jordanian Update
Qantas Group CEO Update
Qantas' Alan Joyce Awarded Chief Executive Of The Year 2015
Now in its thirteenth year, CAPA’s Aviation Awards for Excellence are intended to reward airlines and airports that are not only successful but have also provided industry leadership in an always changing environment. At a time of industry upheaval, our winners are adopting strategies that offer new directions for others to take up.
Award candidates were independently researched and short-listed by a team analysts at CAPA - Centre for Aviation and partners at Heidrick & Struggles. Winners were then selected by an independent global panel of eight judges.
CAPA named Qantas as the 2015 CAPA Airline Turnaround of the Year and Mr Joyce as the 2015 Airline Chief Executive of the Year.
LOT Polish Airlines CEO Update
airBaltic CEO Update
All Nippon Airways Update
How Would The Airline Industry Operate Under A Free Trade/WTO Framework?
After decades of airline operation within a highly regulated bilateral system, dominated by national “flag carriers”, disruptive operating strategies have pushed LCCs to flying over a third of all global airline seats. But otherwise the old system has remained largely un-disrupted.
More recently there have been numerous suggestions that WTO principles and machinery should be selectively applied to restrain Gulf airline expansion. This is clearly neither logical nor likely to happen.
But it raises the question again of: what would the airline industry look like if WTO principles applied across the board?
The absence of “archaic” bilateral controls, especially those that prevent cross-border ownership, would surely mean a very different industry profile. Some arguments have also raised the suggestion that safety could be compromised if the existing regulatory system was changed – although this would hardly appear insurmountable. The automotive industry has 10 global companies; Uber is disrupting the taxi industry; the hotel industry is a collection of brand aggregations, also with many smaller players; the telecommunications industry was disrupted two decades ago. Where to the airlines?
This panel will attempt to recreate the airline industry from the ground up.
• Are there lessons to be learned from other industries?
• Would mergers be good for consumers; would airlines be more responsive to consumer needs?
• Would there be less – or more – inter-government conflict?
• Are competition authorities adequate to deal with the issues of mergers and acquisitions?
• What are the issues in cross-border mergers, aside from the legalities?
• Would airlines make money and what public services role would they play?
• Regulatory viewpoints on the future of aviation market access
• What is a subsidy?
Moderator: CAPA - Centre for Aviation, Executive Chairman, Peter Harbison
Panellists:
• International Council of Tourism Partners, President, Geoffrey Lipman
• Irish Aviation Authority, CEO Eamonn Brennan
• Lufthansa, VP EU Affairs, Prof Dr Regula Dettling-Ott
• Norwegian CAA, Director, Stein Erik Nodeland
• WTO, Director, Trade in Services Division, Hamid Mamdouh
What’s Happening To The World? Is Liberalisation Doomed To Revert To Tighter Bilateral Controls, Ownership Of Markets And “Fair Competition”
But in Europe and the US, where the original motivation for greater openness originated, a move to freeze change at turn of the century levels appears to be emerging. For the time being it has numerically limited support - from Lufthansa, Air France, Delta, American and United. All perceive their own best interests as holding back change. Yet these major “flag carriers” are extremely vocal and still have the influence with their governments to tilt the balance - or do they?
Much of the present pushback is directed at the Gulf carriers, but there is an associated undercurrent of resort to reliance on the “archaic” bilateral concepts formulated in 1945. Fifth freedom services, third country codeshare – anything that smacks of the least deviation from pure bilateralism and restrictive ownership and control rules is being flagged as being “unfair competition” or as distorting the “level playing field”.
This panel session reviews the situation in each of the major regional markets, where they are heading – and what is happening where they intersect.
• What is/should be the role of regulators in the process?
• The carriers of change: who has the vested interests in a changed system? Who has the greatest stake in the status quo
• Can the old norms – ownership and control, nationalism etc – seriously - ever be changed?
• Will the emerging power of Asia and the Chinese airlines change the way the industry is regulated?
• Do – or should - airports have a voice in the process?
Provocateur at Large: Aviation Strategy & Concepts, Managing Director, Ulrich Schulte-Strathaus
Moderator: John Byerly Consultants, John Byerly
Panellists:
• Air China, VP & General Manager North America, Zhihang Chi
• ERA, Director General, Simon McNamara
• European Commission, Head of Unit, International Aviation Markets & Airports, DG Transport, Emmanuelle Maire
• LOT, Acting CEO, Marcin Celejewski
The Emerging Nature Of Global Partnerships; How Important Is Equity In A New World?
The so-called branded global alliances (BGAs) did not rely on equity to bind them, but subsequently developed tiers, such as the sub-alliances in the ATI metal neutral JVs on the North Atlantic. The BGAs still dominate global aviation, with many aircraft now “branded” with the alliance colours.
In the 21st century various ad hoc minority and other equity models have evolved, including the LCC groupings of cross-border JVs in Asia (eg AirAsia, Tigerair, Jetstar), full service airline groups of various kinds in Europe (eg AF-KLM, IAG and the Lufthansa Group) and Latin America (LATAM).
But it was not until Etihad developed an explicit strategy of acquiring substantial minority shareholdings in airlines around the world that the issue of equity came to the fore as a potential alternative. The Etihad Equity Partnership is still a one-off, but there are hints that some Asian airlines would be interested in following suit.
• The branded global alliances are evolving to meet new challenges. Are they moving fast enough?
• Are metal-neutral JVs creating juggernauts, making competition too lopsided?
• Do equity shares offer enduring alternatives for the smaller airlines?
• What other options exist for smaller airlines if they are to get their “level playing field”?
• Is Asia’s trans-national JV ownership model suitable for other regions?
• Is the Etihad Equity Partnership a useful model for others to follow?
• An airport’s perspective on accommodating alliances
Moderator: CAPA - Centre for Aviation, Executive Chairman, Peter Harbison
Panellists:
• airBaltic, CEO, Martin Gauss
• ANA Holdings, Senior Executive Advisor to the Chairman, Keisuke Okada
• Ethiopian Airlines, CEO, Tewolde GebreMariam • Finnair, CCO, Juha Jarvinen
• Finavia, SVP Airport Network & Marketing, Joni Sundelin
Ethiopian Airlines Awarded CAPA Airline Of The Year
Ethiopian was selected by the judging panel for its ability to establish pan-African operations and thrive in an increasingly important emerging market where most airlines have struggled. Ethiopian has been a clear standout and emerged as the leader in Africa with a pioneering strategy. CAPA noted that Ethiopian has rapidly expanded its network in Africa, which now consists of a leading 45 destinations. Its position in Africa has been further strengthened by pursuing joint ventures and investments in other African carriers.
Ethiopian has also pursued rapid and successful expansion in Asia, where it now has 11 destinations, positioning Addis Ababa as the leading hub for the growing Asia-Africa market despite intensifying competition for such traffic from the Gulf carriers/hubs. Several new partnerships have been forged including with ANA, Singapore Airlines and United AIrlines, leveraging Ethiopian’s membership in Star.
flydubai CEO Update
Will Long-Haul Low-Cost Expansion Change The World?
There are lessons to be learned here, but as the new 787s and A350s enter the market, new, longer haul operations are developing. Norwegian, Air Canada rouge,, Lufthansa’s planned realignment of its Eurowings subsidiary are each likely to stretch the boundaries. But many still doubt the viability of such services. This panel explores whether regulatory, labour and operational factors will constrain growth in this segment – or whether it is a transformational addition to the industry.
• Is LHLCC in fact a new airline type?
• What are the pre-conditions for LHLCC entry and success?
• Are others planning LHLCC services – independent and as FSC subsidiaries? • And can they become profitable?
Moderator: European Aviation Club, Chairman, Rigas Doganis
Panellists:
• airBaltic, CEO, Martin Gauss
• Dublin Airport, Managing Director, Vincent Harrison
• ELFAA, Secretary General, John Hanlon
• Pegasus, CCO, Guliz Ozturk
D-i-s-r-u-p-t-i-o-n! - The Innovators Who Are Defying The Odds And Re-writing Aviation & Travel
• What’s coming around the corner (and what’s already arrived) that will reshape aviation and travel as we know it?
• Will disruption come from within the aviation and travel industry, or be forced upon it from outside?
• Who will be the winners and who will be the losers?
Moderator: MW Travel Consultancy, Principal, Martin Warner
Panellists:
• CarTrawler, Chief Technology Officer, Bobby Healy
• Concur, Senior Director Strategy, Johnny Thorsen
• Ryanair, CCO, David O'Brien
• Travelport, Global Head of Product & Marketing, Air Commerce, Ian Heywood
How Productive Is The Global Aviation Industry?
• Are Industrial Relations laws standing in the way of productivity gains in the aviation sector?
• How sophisticated are the aviation corporations in their approach to bargaining?
• How to achieve a consistent strategy across multiple labour groups to provide maximum efficiency? Moderator: European Aviation Club, Chairman, Rigas Doganis Panellists: • ALPA, Executive Administrator, Captain Rick Dominguez • Finavia, CEO, Kari Savolainen • Finnair, SVP Human Resources, Eija Hakakari • IFALPA, President, Martin Chalk • International Transport Workers' Federation (ITF), Section Secretary, Gabriel Mocho Rodriguez • PrivatAir, President and Executive Chairman, Greg Thomas
Air China Update
IndiGo Named CAPA Low Cost Airline Of the Year
IndiGo was selected by the judging panel to for its ability to thrive in an extremely challenging market. The judges were particularly impressed by the way IndiGo’s executive team have executed their business strategies.
This award is given to the low cost airline that has been the biggest standout strategically, established itself as a leader, been most innovative, and provided a benchmark for others to follow.
“In less than 10 years IndiGo has grown to become India's largest domestic airline with a market share of close to 40%,” Mr Harbison said. “Despite operating in a very challenging market, IndiGo has consistently reported profits for each of the last seven years, including a record profit in FY2015. Over the same period India's airlines combined have lost in excess of USD10 billion.”
CAPA noted that IndiGo is now in the final stages of preparing for an historic initial public offeringwhich is expected to value the airline at about USD4 billion. IndiGo has established a very positive brand reputation for the quality of its service, clean aircraft, innovative F&B packaging and its efficient operating model with the lowest cancellation rate and best on-time performance among the main Indian carriers. IndiGo’s on-time performance and schedule integrity has been an industry benchmark in India since it launched.
Over the last year IndiGo has maintained stability in a challenging market while all its main competitors have faced a crisis. IndiGo is now attracting significant interest from potential foreign airline investors and global alliances.