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CAPA Latin America Aviation & LCCs Summit

Salvador, Brazil
25-26 Aug 2022
8:00-9:00 Registration & Welcome Coffee
9:00
Chairperson's Welcome
9:05
Welcome
VINCI Airports, CEO VINCI Airports Brasil, Julio Cesar Ribas
National Secretary of Civil Aviation, Ronei Saggioro Glanzmann 
Mayor of Salvador, Bruno Reis          
9:30
Airline CEO Interview
Moderator: CAPA - Centre for Aviation
, Senior Advisor, John Thomas  
Speaker: Azul Brazilian Airlines, CEO, John Rodgerson    
10:00-10:45
Understanding the Covid-19 recovery - Where does Latin America stand?

With little direct government support, despite tight travel restrictions, it has been a tough couple of years for the aviation sector across Latin America. By August, most regions of the world will be shifting their focus in managing COVID-19 to an endemic state — how has Latin America managed this transition? 

Governments across the Americas need to “fundamentally change their mindset” and the way that they collaborate with the aviation industry; otherwise the recovery will stall, IATA regional VP for the Americas Peter Cerda has said recently. 

It is clear that the industry will need much smarter collaboration than ever before.

The fear is that governments across the region will default back to old habits. Over-regulation and damaging tax systems may appear effective tools for recovery, but they are counterproductive for airports, airlines and consumers.

Three of Latin America’s major airline groups – LATAM, Aeromexico and Avianca – are emerging from Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. As they’ve been working to restructure during the past couple of years their low cost rivals have been preparing to bolster competition with those restructured operators.

  • What will be the weight of leisure destinations in the post-covid recovery?

  • What is the status of border reopening and are countries working together to create a seamless experience for intra-regional travel? 

  • While standardised rules for international travellers remains a biggest hurdle for Latin America’s airlines, will new dynamics influence the shape of the industry in the region and bring new opportunities for growth?

  • Taxation and regulation have long been a complex issue between the region’s aviation sector and the governments. Has the pandemic created opportunities for new dialogue for countries in Latin America to rethink their relationship with the aviation industry? 

Moderator: CAPA - Centre for Aviation, Senior Advisor, John Thomas  

  • ACI - Latin America Caribbean, Director General, Rafael Echevarne
  • American Airlines, Director for South America and Strategic Alliances, Gonzalo Schames
  • Azul Brazilian Airlines, Revenue Vice President, Abhi Shah 
  • IATA, Regional Vice President The Americas, Peter Cerdá 

 

10:45-11:15

Coffee Break & Networking
11:15
Will partnerships and consolidation lead to more tenable aviation industry in Latin America?

Although airline consolidation in the Latin American market appears to be occurring at a rapid-fire pace, the reality is that the latest agreements to emerge took some time to develop and finalise. 

Yet even as Abra Group, which comprises Avianca, GOL and Viva, works to gain all the necessary regulatory approvals for its creation, the consolidation story in the region is not over. 

It is widely believed in the industry that more M&A in Latin America will occur, creating a more tenable aviation industry in the market. The question is: who will make the next move?

  • Viva, Avianca and GOL are in the process of creating a new wave of consolidation in the Latin American market.

  • The creation of Abra will result in many benefits for the airline conglomerate. 

  • More consolidation in store for Latin America.

Key discussion points:

  • While traditional JVs continue to dominate the region, what new partnerships are emerging? 

  • What are the advantages of each kind of tie-up, and are other new partnerships in the offing?

  • Who will make the next move in Latin American M&A?
Moderator: IATA, Regional Vice President The Americas, Peter Cerdá
  • GOL, Strategic Alliances, International & Industry Affairs, Randall Saenz Aguero
  • Cellpoint Digital, Sr Sales Director, Federico Fraga
  • Dohop, CEO, David Gunnarsson      

 

12:00
The role of sustainability and clean fuel in the future of air travel in Latin America

Globally, consumers, communities, corporations, and governments are focusing more intently than ever on the need to arrest growth in carbon emissions and ways to transition to a net-zero future.

Following a dramatic 2021 IPCC report, and the 2021 COP26 climate summit in Glasgow, there has been more pressure than ever for industries to demonstrate decarbonisation strategies and outcomes.

The airline industry is a prominent target, despite generating a relatively small 2.5% to 3.5% of the planet’s greenhouse gas emissions – but it is a conspicuous target.

In 2016 ICAO, supported by IATA, established CORSIA, the Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation, which was arguably the first industry to target 2050 emission ceilings. But now its programme is no longer considered stringent enough. As its name implies, the strategy combined reducing emissions, as well as offsetting them. 

The industry now potentially faces interim 2030 targets as demands intensify to reduce emissions even faster. This will be an extreme challenge, as most of the anticipated technological solutions are not expected to occur until the 2030s and beyond.

Two of Brazil’s largest operators believe there’s a built-in infrastructure in the country for the urban mobility market, and are in the process of working to launch operations with electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft in the not too distant future. Are operators in other Latin countries considering this technology? In this session we hear from industry experts as they look to the future to determine when, and if, targets can be achieved.

  • What are the milestones that need to be met in the near term to reach those targets? 

  • What are the biggest challenges the industry faces as it works towards meeting those ambitions?

  • How are governments and airlines in the region approaching the development of SAF? 

  • What level of investment is necessary, and is the interest there? 

  • What innovative strategies are airlines adopting in the short term to meet their sustainability goals as investors increasingly place more emphasis on environmental stewardship?

Moderator: CAPA - Centre for Aviation, Senior Advisor, John Thomas

  • ALTA, Executive Director & CEO, Jose Ricardo Botelho
  • Embraer, Head of Sustainability, Commercial Aviation, Henrique Heidemann
  • TAP Air Portugal, CEO, Christine Ourmières              
12:45-13:45
Lunch Break & Networking
13:45-14:15
Airline CEO Interview

Moderator: CAPA - Centre for Aviation, Senior Advisor, John Thomas
Speaker: GOL
, CEO, Mr. Celso Ferrer   
14:15-14:55
Airline Workshop: New selling strategies, distribution and retailing

Consumers are at the heart of digital transformation and the pandemic has only accelerated the shift to digital retailing and e-commerce, backed by sophisticated IT platforms. And we have seen how effective the non-travel online retailers, like Amazon, have been – and they’ve grown their wallet share substantially.

These new players have gathered more data and learned more about us over the past two years than ever before and the worry is, for a heavily indebted and struggling airline industry – can it keep up and regain its fair share of the ‘economic wallet’ and unlock new revenue streams, as well as meeting shifting customer needs.

Airlines are at a disadvantage in that their starting point are often ageing tech systems of IT platforms, software and hardware. Added to this, an ever-more demanding customer, who wants greater ticketing flexibility, instant refunds, better service, disruption recovery that’s fast and effective and a seamless online and journey experience. The digital experience expectation also extends into the role of the airline’s loyalty programme, as well as its alliances and partnerships.

New selling strategies are also going to be key for the region. From branded fares to subscription services, airlines are shifting the ways they sell tickets.

  • How is the distribution chain adapting to changing strategies?

  • What are other trends in selling that are emerging that will work well specifically in Latin America?

Moderator: CellPoint Digital, Director Business Development, James Schildknecht

  • Lufthansa Group, Diretor America do Sul e Caribe, Felipe Bonifatti
  • TravelX, Founder & CEO, Juan Pablo Lafosse
  • Ultra Air, CEO, William Shaw          
 
14:55-15:05
Skyscanner Horizons Report

Skyscanner Horizons: the latest insights and trends shaping travel's recovery

Overview: Skyscanner offers a glimpse into the latest trends shaping recovery, as revealed in their Skyscanner Horizons reports. Based on forward-looking data, the trends provide an unparallelled look into how traveller behaviour is unfolding and evolving in the current landscape. Discover the latest regional and market-specific trends including current booking horizons, forward-looking demand and popular destinations.

  • Skyscanner, Head of Flights, South America, Isla dos Santos   
15:05-15:45
Aircraft Review: Latin airlines fortify their fleets for fierce competition

During the past year Latin American airlines have worked diligently to build their fleets to be competitive as the COVID-19 pandemic moves to an endemic state.

Airlines restructuring in Chapter 11, and those fortunate enough to weather the crisis without seeking formal bankruptcy protection, have engaged in a flurry of activity to ensure that they will remain competitive for years to come. 

The fleet moves made by airlines in the region is unsurprisingly tilted towards next generation narrowbodies, as operators look to gain fuel efficiency and in some cases, to compete more effectively with low cost operators.

It is not a surprise that next generation narrowbodies are in high demand in the region. Those aircraft have improved fuel burn and help lower unit costs, which is an increasingly competitive benchmark among airlines in Latin America.  

Narrowbodies dominate Latin America's aircraft order book with CAPA’s Fleet database showing that 2,262 aircraft are in service in Latin America and 790 on order. Of the aircraft on order, narrowbody jets represent 91% and Airbus accounts for nearly 70% of the narrowbodies on order in the region.

It is not a surprise that next generation narrowbodies are in high demand in the region. Those aircraft have improved fuel burn and help lower unit costs, which is an increasingly competitive benchmark among airlines in Latin America. 

Key points:

  • Avianca's future fleet rests on order of more than 80 narrowbodies.

  • Viva, has stated that it is aiming to operate 50 Airbus narrowbodies by 2025, and has 24 A320neos on order. 

  • Narrowbodies are also the backbone of LATAM's fleet.

  • Aeromexico exits Chapter 11 and aims to end 2022 with 145 aircraft.

Moderator: CAPA - Centre for Aviation, Head of Analysis, Richard Maslen

  • Azul Brazilian Airlines, Revenue Vice President, Abhi Shah
  • Embraer, Airline Strategy Director - The Americas, Mr. Vagner Ricardo
  • Flybondi, CEO, Mauricio Sana          
 15:45-16:15
 Coffee Break & Networking
 16:15-16:45

CEO Interview

Moderator: CAPA - Centre for Aviation
, Senior Analyst, Lori Ranson
Speaker: Ultra Air, CEO, William Shaw

 16:45-16:55

Innovation Roadshow - Textron
Textron Aviation
, Sales Director, Leonardo Vianna 

 

 16:55-17:25

Airline CEO Interview
Moderator: ACI - Latin America Caribbean
, Director General, Rafael Echevarne
Speaker: Flybondi, CEO, Mauricio Sana

 

 17:25-17:30

Chairperson's Wrap up

 

19:30-22:30

Networking Dinner
Restaurant Pereira, Av. Sete de Setembro, 3959 - Barra, Salvador - BA, 40140-110.

Bus leaves Wish Hotel at 19:15.