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US airline shares dive as OPEC maintains output

Analysis

Oil prices rose again on Wednesday as OPEC announced it will maintain its current oil production quotas, against expectations it would lift output by 1-2 million barrels per day. Shares in US carriers were down significantly, with Republic Airways stock down 4%.

Summary
  • OPEC decides to maintain current oil production quotas, causing oil prices to rise.
  • US carrier stocks, including Republic Airways, experience significant declines.
  • Hawaiian Airlines reports a 7.7% increase in May-2011 traffic, but load factors decrease slightly.
  • Latin American airline shares, such as GOL, Copa Airlines, and TAM, also decline.
  • Copa Holdings reports a significant increase in passenger traffic, particularly in international flights.
  • Overall, the aviation industry faces challenges due to rising oil prices and fluctuating stock prices.

Shares in Hawaiian Airlines were flat. The carrier reported that May-2011 traffic rose 7.7% year-on-year, although load factors eased 1 ppt to 84.5%.

Latin American shares were generally lower as well, with GOL losing 3.7%, Copa Airlines down 1.8% and TAM finishing trading down 1.2%. Copa Holdings reported the following traffic highlights in May-2011:

  • Passenger traffic (RPMs): +29.2% year-on-year;
    • International: +33.5%;
    • Domestic: -6.1%;
  • Passenger load factor: 76.3%, +3.6 ppts;
    • International: 76.7%, +3.3 ppts;
    • Domestic: 72.3%, +4.5 ppts.

Selected AAD daily share price movements (% change): 08-Jun-2011

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