World Bank Chief Economist Justin Lin stated China could grow 8% p/a for the next two decades to become twice the size of the US economy based on purchasing power parity calculations (Bloomberg, 23-Mar-2011). Using market exchange rates, it may be the same size, as the US. China’s growth averaged more than 10% over the past decade. China can enjoy “the advantage of backwardness’” and has “the potential to achieve another 20 years of 8% growth,” Mr Lin said.
China could grow to be twice the size of US economy: World Bank
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Spring Airlines seeks to redefine itself in a more crowded Chinese LCC market
The company folklore of the Chinese low cost carrier Spring Airlines has become entrenched in aviation history, with photos of Spring staff on duty trips sharing hotel rooms while eating instant noodles.
For the Chinese market this thriftiness, and regular candid interviews with billionaire founder Wang Zhenghua, became synonymous with the growing number of budget flights on Spring Airlines. The public became educated about China's only notable LCC, which was markedly different from the cookie cutter format of full service domestic airlines.
But the spectrum of airlines in China is widening and Spring, now under the leadership of Stephen Wang, needs to reassert its position in the Chinese market.
Mr Wang addressed CAPA's Americas Aviation Summit in Orlando in Apr-2017. There are new LCCs and airlines transitioning to LCCs with different service levels, making Spring wonder if it should be an "ULCC". The reality of a government orchestrated market means Spring needs to consider widebody operations for domestic trunk routes, and possible long haul flying. Spring also needs to diversify its presence: its home hub of Shanghai is high yielding but this has invited envy, and an aviation hub overhaul could mean that LCCs are moved to a new and remote third airport in Shanghai.
State of the Market; Global aircraft leasing continues its international shift from west to east
Aviation leasing continues to see a favourable outlook, growing rapidly in both size and importance. The sector is enjoying a combination of easily available funding at low interest rates and strong lease yields, while it’s airline customers benefit from record profits, lower fuel costs and strong air travel demand.