Europe's airline capacity outlook: wait and see
Europe's filed summer 2020 schedules continue to be trimmed, but are still high compared with airline plans and CAPA's capacity projection models.
Schedules for early winter 2020/2021 are still showing 90% of 2019 levels, but this is no guide. Worldwide bookings for Nov-2020 are well below half of 2019 levels.
Passenger booking horizons are now very short, adding to the difficulty in planning future schedules. The continued suspension of the '80-20' slot rule into the winter would give some additional planning flexibility.
Meanwhile, the tentative return of capacity in Europe continues to drift upwards.
Total seat capacity is scheduled to be down by 79.7% year-on-year in the week commencing 22-Jun-2020, according to schedules from OAG combined with CAPA Fleet Database seat configurations.
Europe's cut is 2.0ppts narrower than last week's 81.6% drop, and the third consecutive week of a modestly tightening trend. However, the 'wait and see' approach is likely to remain – both for airlines and for passengers.
Become a CAPA Member to access Analysis Reports
Our Analysis Reports are only available to CAPA Members. CAPA Membership provides exclusive access to in-depth insights on the latest developments in the aviation and travel industry, developed by our team of dedicated analysts located in Europe, North America, Asia and Australia.
Each report offers a fresh perspective on the latest industry trends and is available online or via the CAPA mobile app, with customisable alerts to help you stay informed and identify new business opportunities.
CAPA Membership also provides access to our full suite of tools, including a tailored selection of more than 1,000 News Briefs every week and comprehensive data and analysis on thousands of companies around the world.