Cathay Pacific cautious about sustainability of rebound in traffic and yields. Cargo softening


Cathay Pacific's shares eased 1% on 12-Jul-2010 as it noted that premium demand, while continuing to improve, still remains below 2008 levels. The carrier also issued a caution regarding the sustainability of current strong growth trends later this year. Combined Cathay Pacific and Dragonair passenger numbers surged 27.5% year-on-year in Jun-2010 to 2.22 million, off last year's low base. An airline spokesman noted: "Demand in June remained high in the build-up to the summer peak, as we continued to restore capacity that was cut in response to the huge downturn in business in 2009."

  • Cathay Pacific's premium demand remains below 2008 levels, despite continuous improvement.
  • The airline warns about the sustainability of current strong growth trends later in the year.
  • Combined passenger numbers for Cathay Pacific and Dragonair increased by 27.5% YoY in June 2010.
  • Passenger load factors improved by 8.6 percentage points to 85.4% in June 2010.
  • Cargo and mail tonnage rose by 19.9% YoY in June 2010, but there was some softening in the market compared to previous months.
  • Cathay Pacific has brought back all parked freighters from the desert, with one Boeing Converted Freighter transferring to the cargo joint venture with Air China in August.

He added: "We enjoyed increases in volumes and yields compared to the previous year across most routes. Premium cabins saw a continuation of the pick-up off a low base in 2009, though volumes still remain below 2008 levels. Overall, we expect to see strong demand throughout July and August, although we view the sustainability of the current robust revenue trends towards the end of the year with a degree of caution."

Passenger load factors surged 8.6 ppts to 85.4%, while capacity for the month, measured in available seat kilometres (ASKs), was up by 7.7%. In the first half of 2010 the number of passengers carried was up by 8.5% compared to an ASK reduction of 0.1%.

Cathay Pacific RPK growth and ASK growth

Cargo softening

The two airlines carried a total of 148,520 tonnes of cargo and mail last month, up 19.9% on Jun-2009. The cargo and mail load factor was 75.4%, a rise of 4.1 ppts, while capacity, measured in available cargo/mail tonne kilometres, was up by 19.2%. In the first half of the year, tonnage rose by 24.4% compared to a capacity increase of 7.1%.

Cathay stated: "We saw some softening in the market in June compared to previous months and the increase in tonnage was only just ahead of the increase in capacity for the month. However, overall demand remained robust out of the key Hong Kong and Shanghai markets, particularly on transpacific routes. The Japan market has also been performing well. In terms of capacity, we have now brought back all parked freighters from the desert, though one Boeing Converted Freighter will transfer to the cargo joint venture with Air China in August."

Cathay Pacific passenger numbers growth and cargo volume growth: Jun-2009 to Jun-2010

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