- African airlines: 1.6 million, -1.4% compared to Apr-2012;
- Other carriers: 515,419, -4.4%;
AFRAA reports drop in capacity for African airlines in May-2012
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European airline seat capacity growth accelerates - perhaps too quickly: Outlook for winter 2016/17
The summer 2016 season came to an end on 29-Oct-2016. Adjusting for an extra week relative to the previous summer, it produced seat growth of 6% for capacity to/from/within Europe, matching the rate of growth in summer 2015, but higher than the 10-year average rate of 4% and higher than any other summer since 2010.
Current indications from data filed with OAG are that Europe will also experience accelerating capacity growth in the winter 2016/2017 season, which runs from 30-Oct-2016 to 25-Mar-2017. Adjusting for the season being shorter by one week relative to last winter, total seat growth in Europe is set to reach 7%, compared with 6% growth in winter 2015/2016 (and 6% growth in summer 2016). This is higher than the 10-year average rate for winter of 3% and the highest winter growth since 2007/2008.
On routes to all but one region from Europe, seat growth this winter will both be faster than last winter and higher than its 10-year average. The one exception is Europe to Middle East, the fastest-growing region, where capacity growth will remain at 10%. This report presents analysis of this winter's seat growth for Europe by region and by airline group.
Hawaiian Airlines continues to ride a wave of positive unit revenue momentum, outshining competitors
As most US airlines suffered from a negative unit revenue performance during the past year, Hawaiian Airlines enjoyed positive results in that metric. This result was driven by its unique geography and benign industry capacity growth in its markets that appears to be continuing throughout most of 2017. As many US airlines believe they will finally recover to a positive unit revenue result in 2Q2017, Hawaiian expects another strong performance in that metric, despite continued capacity pressure in its interisland markets. Despite tougher year-on-year unit revenue comparisons as 2017 progresses, Hawaiian believes much upside remains in the sales of premium products.
Due to the timing of new Airbus A321neo deliveries, Hawaiian’s capacity growth targets for 2017 have moved around. But the airline now believes its supply should increase between 2% and 5% as Hawaiian works to adjust its fleet to meet higher levels of travel demand at YE2017.
Hawaiian was one of the few US airlines that actually posted an increase in pretax margins year-on-year in 1Q2017, and it appears as if the company’s valuation in 2Q2017 is reaping some rewards from that performance.