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Global aviation focal point: Bangkok, Singapore and the role of the Star Alliance

Analysis

Southeast Asia is steadily becoming the focal point of global aviation. When headed for Southeast Asia, most travellers fly to/from or via one of two cities: Bangkok or Singapore. And they are most likely to do so on a Star Alliance member carrier. Recently CAPA reviewed the world's top routes and found that the rankings confirmed the rise of Asia as the largest, and fastest growing, aviation market. Using CAPA's Route Analyser Tool, we will now consider the most travelled routes between different regions and how traffic flows are concentrated - or not - on these sectors. First the seats available between Europe and Southeast Asia is reviewed.

Summary
  • Southeast Asia, particularly Bangkok and Singapore, is emerging as a major hub for global aviation.
  • The top routes between Europe and Southeast Asia are concentrated in Bangkok and Singapore, with over 75% of seats originating from these two cities.
  • Bangkok and Singapore have a large number of airlines operating from their airports, with Bangkok being the airport with the second-largest selection of carriers globally.
  • Lufthansa Group and AF/KL (Air France/KLM) dominate the European end of the Southeast Asia-Europe routes.
  • Star Alliance has a strong presence on the top routes, particularly due to Thai Airways in Bangkok and Singapore Airlines in Singapore.
  • There is potential for new players, such as Garuda in Jakarta, to enter the top routes, and Vietnam routes are expected to increase with more non-stop flights to Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City. Additionally, the number of seats is likely to increase as more airlines introduce A380 aircraft on key European routes.

See related article: The world's top ten routes are in Asia Pacific

Concentrated at both ends

Top 25 routes between Europe and Southeast Asia (by seats): 19-Sep-2011 to 25-Sep-2011

Rank Origin Destination Total Seats
1 Singapore Changi London Heathrow 37,056
2 Bangkok Suvarnabhumi London Heathrow 24,094
3 Singapore Changi Frankfurt 19,782
4 Bangkok Suvarnabhumi Frankfurt 15,988
5 Singapore Changi Paris Charles De Gaulle 11,144
6 Kuala Lumpur London Heathrow 10,808
7 Bangkok Suvarnabhumi Paris Charles De Gaulle 10,716
8 Kuala Lumpur Amsterdam Airport Schiphol 10,360
9 Singapore Changi Amsterdam Airport Schiphol 9156
10 Bangkok Suvarnabhumi Amsterdam Airport Schiphol 7902
11 Singapore Changi Munich Airport 7252
12 Bangkok Suvarnabhumi Zurich Airport 7182
13 Bangkok Suvarnabhumi Copenhagen Kastrup 7119
14 Singapore Changi Airport Istanbul Ataturk 6432
15 Singapore Changi Zurich Airport 6230
16 Bangkok Suvarnabhumi Istanbul Ataturk 6064
17 Bangkok Suvarnabhumi Vienna 5824
18 Bangkok Suvarnabhumi Munich Airport 5334
19 Bangkok Suvarnabhumi Stockholm Arlanda 5334
20 Manila Amsterdam Airport Schiphol 4956
21 Ho Chi Minh City Paris Charles De Gaulle 4458
22 Singapore Changi Helsinki-Vantaa Airport 4032
23 Kuala Lumpur Paris Charles De Gaulle 3948
24 Kuala Lumpur London Stansted 3924
25 Singapore Changi Milan Malpensa 3892

Even a cursory glance reveals the repeated appearance of a handful of airports. Of the leading Southeast Asia-Europe markets, over 75% of the seats originate in either Bangkok or Singapore, confirming their status as the region's primary hubs.

In the series in which we analysed the world's top airports (Number 17, Bangkok) for 2011, Bangkok, with 79 airlines, trailed only Heathrow with 86, for the world's airport with the largest selection of carriers. While Singapore has fewer airlines, its home carrier operates a growing fleet of A380s, which provides high seat counts. The Zurich-Singapore route has but one daily non-stop, and is operated with an SQ A380, placing it in 15th position.

Lufthansa Group and AF/KL home airports dominate in Europe

At the European end, the breakdown of services by operating carrier or group also reveals a rather concentrated picture, with 15 of the 25 city pairs operating from either AF/KL or Lufthansa group hubs.

However, this does not mean the flights are all operated by these airline groups. As mentioned above, the ZRH-SIN service is operated by Star partner SQ with a Swiss codeshare.

Southeast Asia-Europe route presence by carrier or carrier group

Additionally, almost all of the top seat offers are generated at airports clustered in central Europe and the UK. With the exception of Milan at position 25, there is no representation of southern Europe or the Iberian Peninsula until much further down the list. Spain, represented by Barcelona, does not appear until position 44.

By frequency

Converting another parametre available via the Route Analyser Tool, the next chart shows frequencies rather than seats with the same city pairs displayed but in a different order in some cases, attributable to aircraft size.

Weekly frequencies

In alliance terms, it is Star

Looking at alliance strength, a similar kind of concentration is present with Star, thanks to Bangkok (Thai Airways) and Singapore (SIA), riding high. In Europe, 11 of the end point airports are home to Star members and in Asia, a whopping 19. This high degree of interconnectivity also means Star holds an advantage in the regional dispersal of the traffic as well.

SkyTeam, due to AF/KL, does well in Europe but has only one partner distribution hub in Southeast Asia in the top 25, Hanoi.

Alliance presence on top 25 routes

oneworld lags considerably in the display, with only Heathrow and Helsinki in Europe and Kuala Lumpur in Asia. And since one of the routes, KL-Stansted (soon moving to Gatwick) is operated by Air Asia X, KL moves to the unaligned group on that sector.

There are also possible new players. Now that Garuda has been recertified for service by EU regulators, Jakarta may slowly move into the top group - especially to Amsterdam. Elimination of the Kuala Lumpur stop by KLM on its Jakarta service would immediately put that route into the top 25 and a companion non-stop by Garuda would move it even further up the list.

Vietnam routes will also probably become more numerous as more carriers connect to either Hanoi or Ho Chi Minh City with non-stops as opposed to the present one-stop flights.

Finally, as more carriers take delivery of A380s, the overall number of seats is very likely to climb as airlines including Malaysia Airlines and Thai Airways deploy larger aircraft on key European routes.

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