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Incheon Airport getting back on track

Analysis

After languishing in negative territory for over a year, Incheon Airport, gateway to South Korea, is showing signs of producing some positive growth figures soon. Total passenger numbers and cargo tonnage were down 1.9% and 4.9%, respectively in Jul-2009 to 2.6 million and 238,270 tonnes. However, falls are compounding, as Jul-2008 passenger and cargo traffic was down 5.7% and 2%, respectively. Getting back to pre-crisis levels will take longer, though new entrant airline activity provides some cause for optimism.

Incheon International Airport passenger number growth and cargo volume growth: Aug-08 to Jul-09

Outlook: Home grown recovery

Markets within North Asia, particularly Japan (which is a key source market for Korea), remain deeply depressed amid the economic downturn, though the swine flu scare is showing some signs of abating.

Incheon's traffic recovery is likely to be led by Korean carriers, particularly new entrants that are expanding into short-haul international markets.

Asiana Airlines added frequencies to China and the Philippines last month, while Jeju Air added Bangkok to its network. This month will see Korean Air add three weekly frequencies to Toronto (for a total of daily service from 14-Aug-2009), following the signing of an open skies agreement between Canada and South Korea. From Oct-2009, Korean Air's LCC offshoot, Jin Air, commences its short-haul international expansion, adding services to Chongqing and Weihai in Mainland China, Macau, Bangkok and Japan.

Incheon Airport new/expanded routes: Jul-2009 to Jan-2010

Airline

Origin

Destination

Freq
new

Freq
total

Effective

Asiana Airlines Incheon Sanya 2 2 20-Jul-09

Asiana Airlines

Incheon

Harbin

2

7

20-Jul-09

Asiana Airlines

Incheon

Clark Field

2

9

22-Jul-09

Jeju Air

Incheon

Bangkok

3

4

23-Jul-09

Korean Air

Seoul

Toronto

3

7

14-Aug-09

Asiana Airlines

Incheon

Chonqing

2

2

17-Aug-09

Jin Air

Incheon

Bangkok

7

7

29-Oct-09

Jin Air

Incheon

Macau

4

4

29-Oct-09

Jin Air

Incheon

Kansai

7

7

1-Dec-09

Jin Air

Incheon

Osaka

7

7

17-Dec-09

Jin Air

Incheon

Weihai

7

7

23-Dec-09

Jin Air

Incheon

Guam

4

4

1-Jan-10

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