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2009: The year of aviation’s economic tsunami - European Regions Airline Association

Analysis

The European Regions Airline Association (ERA), representing 66 European airlines operating 1.7 million flights a year, has described 2009 as "the year of aviation's economic tsunami".

ERA Director General, Mike Ambrose, lamented that the tsunami has been "watched in Europe by many states, politicians and regulators with dispassionate and self-interested indifference". He added, "pitifully little attention has been given by either the European Commission or the Parliament to the difficult situation faced by stakeholder companies in European air transport."

Mr Ambrose welcomed the progress on SESAR and the Single European Sky Package II, but urged governments to continue to invest in the development of new capacity, "to be ready when traffic inevitably returns".

ERA members recorded a 7.2% reduction in passenger traffic in 1H2009, noting that while demand improved in the second quarter, "costs are rising and yields are dangerously low".

Aircraft utilisation (hours per day) dropped 10.6% in 1H2009, while landings fell 10.1%, as airlines cut capacity to meet the drop in demand. Passenger load factor fell 2.1 ppts to 61.7% for ERA members.

Passenger demand through Europe's regional airports slumped from +5.1% in 1H2008 to -9.1% in 1H2009, and movements from 3.2% to -9.3%.

Mr Ambrose concluded "there may be signs of a slow recovery in some states, but overall traffic levels are still extremely depressed, while yields continue to reduce.

European airline shares were generally positive yesterday, with Eurofly adding 1.3%. Of the larger carriers, SAS gained 3.2% on a bargaining breakthrough with one of its many unions, while Air France-KLM gained 0.5%.

Lufhansa rose 1.4% as it announced the appointment of Jet Airways CEO, Wolfgang Prock-Schauer to head up UK carrier, bmi.


Europe selected airlines daily share price movements (% change): 08-Oct-09

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