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Slovenia, Colombia and Eastern Europe among the hottest emerging markets for European travellers

24th March, 2011

The overall numbers may be small, but the growth in seating capacity is spectacular from Europe to a number of emerging markets around the world this summer. Headlining this list is Slovenia, Tajikistan and Georgia in Eastern Europe; El Salvador, Panama and Colombia in Latin America; Rwanda, The Gambia and Togo in Africa; and Cambodia and Vietnam in Asia.

See related reports:

Each of the countries listed below has less than 20,000 seats per week, but many represent the future growth stars for airline and airport route planners. 

The strongest growing countries are well distributed among the key emerging markets for European travellers in Latin America, Africa, Eastern Europe and Asia.

Hottest emerging destinations for European travellers (Growth in seats per week): Apr-2010 vs Apr-2011

Destination Apr-2010 Apr-2011 % Change Rank
Apr-2010
Rank
Apr-2011
Change
Slovenia 8,406 18,262 117.2% 93 68 +25
El Salvador 0 1,040 n/a 168 147 +21
Rwanda 852 2,391 180.6% 150 130 +20
Panama 1,470 3,074 109.1% 134 116 +18
Gambia 2,339 3,815 63.1% 126 108 +18
Colombia 10,808 15,065 39.4% 84 70 +14
Cambodia 0 816 n/a 166 153 +13
Trinidad and Tobago 2,107 3,106 47.4% 128 115 +13
French Polynesia 750 1,250 66.7% 154 142 +12
Togo 816 1,384 69.6% 151 139 +12
Saint Lucia 2,449 3,212 31.2% 124 112 +12
Congo 1,533 2,791 82.1% 132 122 +10
Tajikistan 10,466 14,206 35.7% 85 75 +10
Bolivia 810 1,179 45.6% 152 144 +8
Uruguay 1,040 1,471 41.4% 144 136 +8
Sudan 2,667 3,135 17.5% 121 113 +8
Georgia 10,903 14,509 33.1% 82 74 +8
Djibouti 272 657 141.5% 163 157 +6
Kyrgyzstan 5,005 8,033 60.5% 103 97 +6
Belarus 11,680 14,702 25.9% 79 73 +6
Chile 6,825 8,296 21.6% 96 91 +5
Haiti 0 289 n/a 169 165 +4
Benin 1,254 1,928 53.7% 138 134 +4
Ghana 5,853 8,062 37.7% 100 96 +4
Vietnam 9,257 11,874 28.3% 88 84 +4
Kenya 15,145 19,361 27.8% 69 65 +4
Falkland Islands 300 600 100.0% 161 158 +3
Mozambique 1,072 1,325 23.6% 143 140 +3
Greenland 1,336 1,945 45.6% 135 132 +3
Seychelles 2,730 3,130 14.7% 117 114 +3
Iraq 3,904 5,240 34.2% 108 105 +3
Cape Verde 4,881 6,926 41.9% 104 101 +3
Suriname 2,494 2,815 12.9% 123 121 +2
Bosnia and Herzegovina 8,438 9,626 14.1% 92 90 +2
Oman 10,842 12,711 17.2% 83 81 +2
Guinea 1,225 1,444 17.9% 139 138 +1
Uganda 3,399 3,577 5.2% 110 109 +1
Indonesia 8,936 10,948 22.5% 89 88 +1

Important Notes:

  • The April data presented here is not be affected by either the timing of Easter or the ash cloud in Apr-2010. The weekly data is based on a representative week that avoids major holidays.The weeks in question are 12-18-Apr-2010 and 11-17-Apr-2011. The Ash cloud was generally treated by the airlines on an ad hoc basis and schedule changes did not filter through to the data presented here;
  • CAPA offers a wide range of tools for route planners, including detailed schedule analysis for over 3,000 airports worldwide. Click here for an example of the data on Slovenia's gateway, Ljubljana Airport - and browse to the Schedule Analysis tab.

Travellers avoiding Zimbabwe, Yemen, Afghanistan and Bahrain

On the other hand, several emerging markets are distinctly out of favour and capacity from European markets is being severely curtailed this summer. Zimbabwe, Yemen and Afghanistan head this list. But among the larger of these out-of-favour emerging markets include Bahrain, reflecting recent turmoil in the Gulf state, Montenegro and resort destination Guadeloupe.

Weakest emerging destinations for European travellers (Growth in seats per week): Apr-2010 vs Apr-2011

Destination Apr-2010 Apr-2011 % Change Rank
Apr-2010
Rank
Apr-2011
Change
Zimbabwe 1,475 878 -40.5% 133 151 -18
Yemen 2,692 1,465 -45.6% 120 137 -17
Afghanistan 2,911 2,444 -16.0% 114 127 -13
Mali 2,815 2,431 -13.6% 115 128 -13
Zambia 967 567 -41.4% 147 160 -13
Guadeloupe 12,014 11,497 -4.3% 76 86 -10
Liberia 1,136 852 -25.0% 142 152 -10
Montenegro 13,335 11,991 -10.1% 74 83 -9
Guatemala 1,300 1,040 -20.0% 137 146 -9
Mauritius 13,561 12,759 -5.9% 72 80 -8
Philippines 2,779 2,681 -3.5% 116 124 -8
Aruba 3,144 3,016 -4.1% 112 119 -7
Antigua and Barbuda 2,960 2,970 0.3% 113 120 -7
Bahrain 14,289 14,159 -0.9% 70 76 -6
Martinique 11,580 10,967 -5.3% 81 87 -6
Senegal 10,314 8,240 -20.1% 86 92 -6
Gabon 3,294 3,055 -7.3% 111 117 -6
Eritrea 889 741 -16.6% 149 155 -6
Kuwait 11,657 11,873 1.9% 80 85 -5
Ivory Coast
4,194 3,568 -14.9% 106 111 -5

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