Ryanair CEO Michael O’Leary confirmed the LCC is “open to talks on buying the Irish Government's Aer Lingus share”, which sits at 25% (BreakingNews.ie/The Guardian, 03-May-2011). Ryanair has a 29.8% share in Aer Lingus and has previously had two takeover bids for the carrier turned down. The European Commission supported the Irish government's warning that a takeover would be bad for consumers and blocked any deal between Ryanair and Aer Lingus, arguing that 14 million passengers a year would be hit by higher fares. The Royal Bank of Scotland has downplayed the LCC’s renewed interest, saying that a government sale of 25% of Aer Lingus would have a “negligible impact on Ireland's debt burden”, and the European Commission would block any stake sale to Ryanair, even if the Irish government was in favour of the sale. Christoph Mueller, Aer Lingus's CEO, has stated Ryanair’s 29.8% is like a "poison pill", in that it wards off other interested parties and complicates any attempt to join a global alliance.
Ryanair confirms interest in Aer Lingus
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LOT Polish Airlines: now restructured, and long haul focus is on 2020 growth. Partnerships critical
On 8-Sep-2016 LOT Polish Airlines announced its "2020 profitable growth strategy". This involves a goal to achieve "sustainable viability", after a restructuring programme which returned LOT to operating profit in 2014 after six loss-making years. Its privatisation may even be back on the agenda.
LOT currently ranks behind LCCs Ryanair and Wizz Air by share of traffic in Poland, which offers superior traffic growth potential versus Europe as a whole. The airline aims to increase passenger numbers from 4.3 million in 2015 to 10 million in 2020, growing its fleet from 43 to 70 aircraft. LOT's expansion will focus on long haul, particularly North America and Asia, where it currently has only five routes and where competition is considerably lower than on short/medium haul. Initial plans include the launch of Warsaw-Seoul this winter and a return to Warsaw-New York Newark next summer.
According to data from LOT, its restructuring has left it with a fairly efficient cost base by legacy airline standards and this will be important in competing with LCCs (but there is still a cost gap with LCCs). LOT's growth will focus on long haul but will need short-haul European feed – and partnerships. Although LOT no longer appears to be considering leaving the Star Alliance, it remains excluded from American and Asian JVs. Further, those JVs preclude members from working with LOT. Partnership growth will be as critical as it will be challenging.
Vueling NEXT Part 2: new CEO to lead IAG's LCC in restructuring bid to achieve IAG targets
Vueling's new CEO, Javier Sanchez-Prieto, is leading a programme ('Vueling NEXT') to improve its profitability, both through revenue enhancement and cost efficiency gains. Among other aims this hopes to reduce Vueling's high levels of seasonality, to raise aircraft utilisation and to improve labour productivity. Given ambitious financial targets by IAG – action is needed.
Part 1 of CAPA's analysis of Vueling examined its capacity growth and profitability trends since its acquisition by IAG in 2013. Vueling's operating margin and return on invested capital are on a downward trend, hence the new initiative to reverse these trends.
This second part of CAPA's analysis considers the profit improvement programme. During this programme Vueling's fleet will remain broadly flat to 2018, before resuming growth thereafter. Focus markets for Vueling are domestic Spain and Spain-Europe. It has strengths in these markets but faces growing competition from its lower-cost rival Ryanair, which has also been raising its service quality – closing the gap to Vueling's more premium positioning on the LCC spectrum.