Iran's Oil Minister and President of the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) Masoud Mir-Kazemi stated economic growth in Asia may push oil prices over USD100/barrel (Bloomberg, 19-Jan-2011). He said: “Economic growth in Asia is better than in Europe, and we hope that it increases and that oil prices increase. Prices of USD100 and above are not worrisome for producers.” OPEC stated it would need to increase daily production by 400,000 barrels to 29.4 million due to surging Asian demand. Crude is near its highest price in 27 months in New York.
OPEC sees increased demand from Asia
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LATAM and GOL: Excess capacity could threaten arrival of crucial recovery in Brazil domestic market
After two years of weak demand and pricing, some signs of stabilisation are emerging in Brazil; however the country’s two largest airlines are adopting an understandably cautious tone in their assessment of the operating environment. Although both LATAM Airlines Brazil and Gol have significantly reduced their domestic capacity during the last year and a half, both airlines have concluded that some excess supply remains in the market place. Fast-growing Azul has opted to slow its capacity growth in 2016, but Brazil’s fourth largest airline Avianca Brazil has continued growth in order to build its market share within the country.
LATAM Airlines Brazil also believes its performance on routes between the US and Brazil is improving, which is a similar conclusion drawn by US airlines operating between the two countries. For LATAM, the improved performance is offsetting some weakness on other long haul routes from its Spanish-speaking countries.
Neither airline has offered specific capacity guidance for 2017, but LATAM Airlines Brazil and Gol are likely to keep their supply restraint intact. Pricing in the domestic market has yet to stabilise, and competitive capacity actions will result in those airlines keeping their own ASK increases at bay in order to sustain a favourable supply/demand balance.
Global Airport Development Conference 2016 report: Trump, Brexit, pipelines and PPPs. Part 1
The Global Airport Development (GAD World) conference was held in Lisbon, between 29-Nov and 01-Dec-2016. This CAPA report chronicles the presentations and debates that took place on the first two days, including selected ‘stream’ sessions on both days.
There was, inevitably, a political overlay to the event, with the (Jun-2016) UK referendum on continuing membership of the European Union (‘Brexit’), the (Nov-2016) election of President Trump in the US and associated ‘uncertainty’ dominating events.
Otherwise, the concern was, as always, the ‘pipeline’ of airport privatisation details, or rather the lack of them, while the hope was for the continuation of the trend towards PPP deals.