China is reportedly considering plans to make a major investment in Greece, investing billions of euros into major investment projects, including airport development and shipping projects (Financial Times, 14-Jun-2010). The investment agreements are reportedly expected to be made today (15-Jun-2010) during a visit to Athens by Chinese Vice-Premier, Zhang Dejiang.
China may make major investments in Greece: report
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Private investment in airport infrastructure is popular again: the growing importance of the PPP
Privatisation of airports, or at the very least their corporatisation into independent business units that behave along business lines, has again become fashionable. This follows a dip in transactions and prices during the period of the global financial downturn from 2008-2012. Money is now easier to obtain and air transport infrastructure is popular with investors as it typically has a long term cycle attached to it, usually quite the opposite of the airlines that use it.
For now at least traffic figures are rising and airport EBITDAs with them, along with the earnings multiples when they are sold. What is more, the activity is across the board - in PPPs, BOTs, trade sales, even IPOs.
Meanwhile, for the airlines, this is the first time for decades that they are not caught up in a fight for survival. And on the other side, many countries are facing low levels of economic growth where infrastructure funding, while vital, is not possible out of the public purse.
Philippines-China air service growth to lift Philippines' Chinese tourism as Duterte changes horses
First bananas, then people. China's lifting of a trade ban against bananas from the Philippines bodes well for aviation. Relations between China and the Philippines turned negative in 2012. The issue was primarily over China's claims to uninhabited islands – a debate that also caused China-Japan relations to turn sour. China banned Filipino banana imports and issued a travel warning against the Philippines. Travel warnings from China carry more weight than in other markets since state-owned/linked travel agencies essentially stop selling the impacted market. Diplomatic rows have resulted in drastic reductions in outbound passenger flows from China.
Japan has more than recovered but the Philippines' underexposure to China is well evident: the Philippines has received the least number of Chinese tourists in Asia. Laos and Cambodia, far smaller than the Philippines, each received more Chinese tourists than the Philippines.
New Filipino President Rodrigo Duterte is pivoting Manila's allegiance away from the US – to China. His presidency is young and the calculation has its sceptics, but China appears to be warming. Following the lifting of its ban on banana trade, China is expected to use President Duterte's visit to Beijing to lift its travel warning against the Philippines. This will likely stimulate large air service growth between China and the Philippines. Yet for existing markets, there is some concern that the Philippines presents new competition.