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LAN Airlines up as domestic and international traffic grows; Copa Airlines slips

Analysis

North and South American airline stocks were mixed on Wednesday (08-Sep-2010), despite strong gains in wider markets. The Dow (+0.5%) ended trading higher on news Portugal successfully completed its debt auction with solid demand and the US Federal Reserve reported "economic growth at a moderate pace" among five regional banks.

In Latin America, markets were mixed. Brazil's Bovespa (-0.5%) was pushed lower by state oil company, Petrobras, ahead of the company's share sale, in which it plans to raise at least USD64 billion. Chile's IPSA (+1.3%) gained after the Chilean central bank raised its economic growth forecast. The index reached a new intraday high as a result.

LAN Airlines up as domestic and international traffic grows

LAN Airlines (+2.0%) made strong gains after reporting a 1.3 ppt year-on-year improvement in load factor for Aug-2010 to 77.8%. Passenger numbers were also up, gaining 14.9% to 1.5 million.

Domestic passenger traffic in Chile, Argentina, Peru and Ecuador rose 15.1%, as capacity increased 10.0%. Consequently, the domestic load factor for the month increased 3.4 ppts to 76.8%.

International passenger traffic for Aug-2010 grew 13.1%, while capacity increased 12.5%. Accordingly, the international passenger load factor for the month increased 0.4 points to 78.2%. During the month, international capacity expansion was mainly driven by an increase in operations on routes to the US, as well as certain regional routes.

Cargo traffic increased 16.0%. This increase was mainly due to the recovery in imports to Latin America driven by Brazil and the increase in operations to Europe with the B777 freighter fleet. In addition, in Jun-2010, LAN Cargo launched domestic cargo operations in Brazil to Recife and Fortaleza through its affiliate ABSA. In line with higher demand, capacity grew 17.0%. As a result, the cargo load factor dropped 0.6 ppts to 68.4%.

See related CAPA Profile: Traffic and Capacity

GOL load factor advances

GOL (+2.8%) also rose for the day, after reporting a 10.8 ppt rise in load factor for Aug-2010, to 69.9%.

See related report: Peanuts share wrap

Copa Holdings slips

Conversely, Copa Holdings (-0.9%) fell after the day earlier reporting a 0.9 ppt decline in load factor for Aug-2010, to 75.0%. As part of this, Copa Airlines load factor fell 1.0 ppts to 75.2%, while Aero Republica load factor was down 0.4 ppts to 74.4%.

The decline in load factor was the result of the group's capacity increase outweighing the growth in traffic for the period. Traffic (RPMs) gained 12.2%, while capacity was increased 1.5%.

North & South America selected airlines daily share price movements (% change): 08-Sep-2010

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