Boeing Commercial Airplanes VP Randy Tinseth, on his Randy's Journal blog, stated (08-Oct-2013) Latin America is a "booming region", adding: "São Paulo, Santiago, Bogotá and Mexico City—all exciting cities with populations fuelling an aviation growth spurt." He noted, "We expect Latin America to grow at one of the fastest rates in the entire world— with the airline fleet in the region tripling in size over the next 20 years. That’s a whopping 2900 new airplanes valued at $300 billion. The overwhelming majority of those new airplanes coming into the Latin American fleet will be single-aisle. Our airline customers in the region have already placed 120 orders for the 737 MAX—and we’re working hard to make sure many more orders come in. Our forecast also shows that Latin America will need 270 smaller widebody airplanes— a demand the 787 family is well positioned to meet. The 787 is already in service with Aeromexico and LAN. Soon, Avianca will receive its first Dreamliner." During a visit to the region, Mr Tinseth noted: "Across the board, everyone is excited about the growth on the way for this region—both economically and in air travel. They were also genuinely excited about the new products we’ll be bringing to the market over the next several years, from the 737 MAX, to the new members of the 787 family, to the 777X."
Latin America is a 'booming region': Boeing
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European airline seat capacity growth accelerates - perhaps too quickly: Outlook for winter 2016/17
The summer 2016 season came to an end on 29-Oct-2016. Adjusting for an extra week relative to the previous summer, it produced seat growth of 6% for capacity to/from/within Europe, matching the rate of growth in summer 2015, but higher than the 10-year average rate of 4% and higher than any other summer since 2010.
Current indications from data filed with OAG are that Europe will also experience accelerating capacity growth in the winter 2016/2017 season, which runs from 30-Oct-2016 to 25-Mar-2017. Adjusting for the season being shorter by one week relative to last winter, total seat growth in Europe is set to reach 7%, compared with 6% growth in winter 2015/2016 (and 6% growth in summer 2016). This is higher than the 10-year average rate for winter of 3% and the highest winter growth since 2007/2008.
On routes to all but one region from Europe, seat growth this winter will both be faster than last winter and higher than its 10-year average. The one exception is Europe to Middle East, the fastest-growing region, where capacity growth will remain at 10%. This report presents analysis of this winter's seat growth for Europe by region and by airline group.
Air Europa Part 2: a record of labour productivity gains, CASK near LCC levels but RASK falling
After a period of unit revenue growth following the global financial crisis, Air Europa came under heavy pricing pressure in 2015. Renewed growth by Iberia has intensified competition to Latin America, while LCCs are putting strain on short haul yields.
Air Europa does not report profits, but it is its parent company Globalia's largest business by revenue. The privately owned Globalia group has been profitable since 2013 but suffered a fall in profits in 2015, when its Air Division's revenue declined by 3% in spite of traffic growth. The group balance sheet has low liquidity and Globalia is reportedly considering an IPO.
Widebodies now represent more than half of Air Europa's seats and 20 out of 27 outstanding orders. This reflects the importance of its Latin American network and its ambitions to continue long haul growth, as detailed in part 1 of this report. Moreover, the widebody orders are for Boeing 787s – to replace A330s, generating cost efficiency gains. CAPA estimates that Air Europa's unit cost is above that of LCCs, but closer to them than to FSCs. It has a good track record of labour productivity growth, which will be useful in its quest for further CASK reduction.