Algeria's Minister of Transport, Amar Tou, at the 19th Annual African Aviation Conference and Exhibition, noted that major European carriers, including British Airways, Lufthansa and Air France-KLM, are generating significant revenues from their respective African services (All Africa, 25-Mar-2010). He added that while the carriers are generating revenues in excess of USD4 billion from these services, they are devising "stringent" regulations (including emissions laws) and "untenable" safety conditions to prevent many African airlines from operating to Europe. Mr Tou called for increased cooperation among African airlines to react to this scenario, including the ratification of the Yamoussoukro Decision which, if ratified, would open the region's airspace to inter-city operations in any part of the continent by any airline from the continent.
European airlines dominating African services. Algeria calls for intra-African liberalisation
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President Trump and US aviation. A likely reversion to protectionism
The 45th President of the USA will be Donald J. Trump.
This CAPA analysis considers the impact of his campaign, and now impending presidency, on the aviation and tourism sector, against the background of the election campaign. It is an upadated version of one produced by CAPA in Jun-2016. There is more to the apparent shift in US international attitudes than just Mr Trump's election, as a sweeping dissatisfaction and distrust of “politicians” pervades that country – and others.
Donald Trump’s presidential campaign was marked by a combination of populism, nationalism, protectionism, racism – notably against Mexicans - and anti-Muslim rhetoric. There were also even less attractive elements of his campaign.
Mr Trump’s positions were matched at the other end of the political spectrum – in a more palatable way – by Bernie Sanders, who also played to the populist disillusionment with Washington. The result has shifted the US' national policy fulcrum. For aviation purposes Mr Trump has said and done things that are relevant in several important areas, as outlined below. Protectionism and an erosion of free trade is a prominent risk.
European airline seat capacity growth accelerates - perhaps too quickly: Outlook for winter 2016/17
The summer 2016 season came to an end on 29-Oct-2016. Adjusting for an extra week relative to the previous summer, it produced seat growth of 6% for capacity to/from/within Europe, matching the rate of growth in summer 2015, but higher than the 10-year average rate of 4% and higher than any other summer since 2010.
Current indications from data filed with OAG are that Europe will also experience accelerating capacity growth in the winter 2016/2017 season, which runs from 30-Oct-2016 to 25-Mar-2017. Adjusting for the season being shorter by one week relative to last winter, total seat growth in Europe is set to reach 7%, compared with 6% growth in winter 2015/2016 (and 6% growth in summer 2016). This is higher than the 10-year average rate for winter of 3% and the highest winter growth since 2007/2008.
On routes to all but one region from Europe, seat growth this winter will both be faster than last winter and higher than its 10-year average. The one exception is Europe to Middle East, the fastest-growing region, where capacity growth will remain at 10%. This report presents analysis of this winter's seat growth for Europe by region and by airline group.