- Passenger numbers: 3.7 million, +17.1% year-on-year;
- Passenger load factor: 74%, +4.0 ppts. [more]
AirAsia passenger numbers up 17.1% in 1Q2010
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LCC models in Southeast Asia evolve as growth slows, though outlook remains bright
Southeast Asia’s LCC sector is entering a new phase, after experiencing explosive growth over the last decade. The rate of capacity growth in the short haul segment has slowed, leading to small declines in the LCC penetration rate within the region. Profitability has also remained a concern, with over half the region's LCCs unprofitable during 2015, despite extremely favourable conditions in most markets.
However, growth is accelerating in the less penetrated medium haul segment. Partnership activity is increasing as LCCs seek new growth opportunities outside the point-to-point model, notably culminating in the world's second, but most extensive, LCC alliance – the Value Alliance, with membership across the region and a joint sales platform.
Partnerships are particularly important for LCCs outside the AirAsia and Lion groups. AirAsia and Lion each account for 30% Southeast Asia’s LCC market and have a massive order book, with commitments for nearly 900 aircraft.
Turkish Airlines and Pegasus to take unprecedented capacity decisions as Turkey air traffic slumps
Until 2014 Turkey was one of the most reliably fast-growing air traffic markets in Europe. In 2015 passenger numbers levelled off, and in 2016 traffic is set to decline. The impact of geopolitical events, including a series of terrorist attacks, the civil war in neighbouring Syria and the failed coup attempt in Jul-2016, has weighed heavily on demand for international travel to/from Turkey.
Foreign airlines switched capacity away from Turkey in summer 2016, but the country's two largest operators – Turkish Airlines and Pegasus Airlines – continued to grow. However, following years of double-digit growth by both, Turkish Airlines and Pegasus Airlines are taking unusual steps this winter. According to data from OAG, Turkish looks set to implement year-on-year capacity cuts, while Pegasus appears to be planning flat capacity for the period from Nov-2016 to Mar-2017. It seems likely that both airlines will again cut their growth targets for 2016.
Moreover, Pegasus is seeking wet-lease customers for six of its current fleet of 73 aircraft. Perhaps more significantly, Turkish is to reschedule 165 aircraft deliveries planned for 2018-2022, cutting its planned fleet size in 2021 from 439 to 400.