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7-Mar-2013 2:56 PM

FAA releases 2013-2033 forecast, US mainline carrier domestic enplanements to be flat in 2013

US FAA released (06-Mar-2013) its forecast for fiscal year 2013-2033. US mainline carrier domestic capacity (RPMs) are forecast to increase 0.8% in 2013 and grow at an average annual rate of 2.1% for the remaining 20 years of the forecast period. US mainline carrier domestic enplanements are forecast to be flat in 2013. Domestic mainline passenger real yield (adjusted for inflation) is forecast to increase from USD14.10 cents in 2012 to USD14.24 cents in 2013. Fiscal years 2013-2033 forecast details include:

  • US mainline carriers - Enplanements:
    • 2013: +0.1% year-on-year;
    • 2014: +2.7%;
      • Domestic: +2.5%;
      • International: +3.8%;
      • Atlantic: +2.8%;
      • Latin America: +3.9%;
      • Asia Pacific:+5.4%;
    • 2013-2033: +2.2%;
      • Domestic: +1.9%;
      • International: +4.1%;
      • Atlantic: +3.2%;
      • Latin America: +4.5%;
      • Asia Pacific: +4.3%;
  • US mainline carriers - Real yield:
    • 2013:
      • Domestic: +1.0%;
      • International: -3.4%;
    • 2014:
      • Domestic: -0.6%;
      • International: -0.6%;
    • 2013-2033:
      • Domestic: -0.5%;
      • International: -0.6%.
  • US commercial carriers – Cargo traffic (RTMs):
    • 2013: +0.4%;
      • Domestic: -0.9%;
      • International: +1.1%;
    • 2014: +5.5%;
      • Domestic: +1.5%;
      • International: +7.4%;
    • 2013-2033: +4.6%;

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