First 787-9 flight set for 10:00 PDT on 17-Sep-2013
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LATAM and GOL: Excess capacity could threaten arrival of crucial recovery in Brazil domestic market
After two years of weak demand and pricing, some signs of stabilisation are emerging in Brazil; however the country’s two largest airlines are adopting an understandably cautious tone in their assessment of the operating environment. Although both LATAM Airlines Brazil and Gol have significantly reduced their domestic capacity during the last year and a half, both airlines have concluded that some excess supply remains in the market place. Fast-growing Azul has opted to slow its capacity growth in 2016, but Brazil’s fourth largest airline Avianca Brazil has continued growth in order to build its market share within the country.
LATAM Airlines Brazil also believes its performance on routes between the US and Brazil is improving, which is a similar conclusion drawn by US airlines operating between the two countries. For LATAM, the improved performance is offsetting some weakness on other long haul routes from its Spanish-speaking countries.
Neither airline has offered specific capacity guidance for 2017, but LATAM Airlines Brazil and Gol are likely to keep their supply restraint intact. Pricing in the domestic market has yet to stabilise, and competitive capacity actions will result in those airlines keeping their own ASK increases at bay in order to sustain a favourable supply/demand balance.
United Airlines Part 2: Sustaining balance sheet strength while declaring ambitious margin targets
One area where United Airlines has made important strides during the last few years is in overhauling its balance sheet. Its efforts have gained some recognition from credit agencies for its progress in paring down debt and improving leverage ratios; but similarly to its rival American Airlines – attaining an investment-grade credit rating is not a huge priority for United. The airline believes it can achieve some benefits that investment-grade companies enjoy with the current state of its balance sheet.
In order to sustain the progress it has made in balance sheet repair United plans to amend its aircraft order book to slash capex commitments during the next couple of years, including the deferral of 61 Boeing narrowbodies. United is hinting that other fleet changes could be under consideration, including deals similar to the agreement it forged during 2015 to lease used Airbus A319s.
This is Part 2 in a two-part series reviewing United’s financial and revenue-generating opportunities.