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Who’s going to win the FIFA World Cup? The aviation view is…Slovakia!

11-Jun-2010

Spain, Brazil and Argentina may be the favourites to take out the 2010 FIFA World Cup, but based on exclusive analysis and prediction by CAPA, Slovakia will raise the trophy. The CAPA "Aviation Industry Boxing Above Weight" Ranking is based on a weighting of the relative performance of the finalists’ national aviation industries relative to their peers (using a complex assessment of GDP per capita, propensity to travel by air and the size of the respective national aviation industries). According to the analysis, Slovakia will be this year’s champions in a grand final playoff with North Korea. Cameroon will beat Paraguay in the playoff for third.

Heavyweights Spain, Brazil and Argentina will finish 24th, 17th and 8th, respectively.

World Cup Finalists: Key stats


Population

GDP (million USD)

GDP per capita

Fleet In Service

Flights per Capita

CAPA's "Aviation
Industry Boxing
Above Weight" Ranking

Algeria

34,178,188

239,600

7,000

56

0.3

12

Argentina

40,913,584

558,000

13,800

90

0.5

8

Australia

21,262,641

824,300

38,800

519

5.0

29

Brazil

198,739,269

2,025,000

10,200

396

0.6

17

Cameroon

18,879,301

42,760

2,300

13

0.05

3

Chile

16,601,707

243,700

14,700

71

0.8

14

Côte d'Ivoire

20,617,068

35,820

1,700

8

0.05

5

Denmark

5,500,510

198,600

36,000

83

4.0

27

England

61,113,205

2,149,000

35,200

865

3.0

23

France

64,057,792

2,110,000

32,800

468

2.0

19

Germany

82,329,758

2,811,000

34,100

718

2.0

16

Ghana

23,887,812

36,570

1,500

18

0.1

21

Greece

10,737,428

341,000

32,100

82

4.0

28

Honduras

7,833,696

33,170

4,200

28

0.8

31

Italy

58,126,212

1,760,000

30,300

280

2.0

20

Japan

127,078,679

4,137,000

32,600

538

1.8

15

Mexico

111,211,789

1,482,000

13,500

323

0.8

18

Netherlands

16,715,999

654,900

39,200

206

2.0

13

New Zealand

4,213,418

114,900

27,300

142

9.0

32

Nigeria

149,229,090

357,200

2,400

104

0.1

11

North Korea

22,665,345

40,000

1,900

21

0.04

2

Paraguay

6,995,655

28,270

4,100

4

0.1

4

Portugal

10,707,924

233,400

21,800

101

3.0

30

Serbia

7,379,339

78,360

10,400

18

0.4

9

Slovakia

5,463,046

115,700

21,200

9

0.4

1

Slovenia

2,005,692

55,840

27,900

16

1.0

7

South Africa

49,052,489

495,100

10,100

212

0.7

22

South Korea

48,508,972

1,356,000

28,000

223

0.9

6

Spain

40,525,002

1,368,000

33,700

393

3.0

24

Switzerland

7,604,467

317,000

41,700

154

4.0

25

Uruguay

3,494,382

44,520

12,700

12

0.50

10

USA

307,212,123

14,260,000

46,400

7,117

5.0

26

Some boil-overs in initial fixtures

The all-important initial round of matches will generally be high scoring affairs, according to CAPA’s Exclusive Aviation Ranking formula, with just one draw in the first 16 matches. The big boil over is expected to be North Korea’s 4-1 defeat of Brazil on its way to the final.

CAPA Aviation Ranking Results Predictor: First 16 matches

South Africa 2
Mexico 3

Uruguay 3
France 2

Argentina 3
Nigeria 2

South Korea 4
Greece 1

England 3
USA 2

Algeria 2
Slovenia 3

Germany 3
Australia 1

Serbia 3
Ghana 2

Netherlands 3
Denmark 1

Japan 1
Cameroon 3

Italy 1
Paraguay 3

New Zealand 0
Slovakia 5

Côte d'Ivoire 4
Portugal 1

Brazil 1
North Korea 4

Honduras 1
Chile 4

Spain 2
Switzerland 2

Good luck to all the teams, their supporters and the hosts South Africa for a wonderful tournament!


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